Pre-tourney Rankings
Long Beach St.
Big West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#39
Expected Predictive Rating+10.0#40
Pace69.1#128
Improvement-0.3#182

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#42
Improvement-2.6#286

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#61
Improvement+2.3#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round35.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 150   Idaho W 69-61 87%     1 - 0 +5.9 +0.9 +6.0
  Nov 16, 2011 68   @ Pittsburgh W 86-76 48%     2 - 0 +20.5 +20.3 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2011 46   @ San Diego St. L 73-77 OT 42%     2 - 1 +8.1 -3.2 +11.9
  Nov 22, 2011 134   Boise St. W 72-62 85%     3 - 1 +8.9 -1.7 +10.8
  Nov 26, 2011 95   @ Montana L 71-73 55%     3 - 2 +6.6 +6.2 +0.3
  Nov 28, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 66-79 27%     3 - 3 +3.5 +5.3 -1.6
  Dec 06, 2011 5   @ Kansas L 80-88 14%     3 - 4 +13.8 +6.7 +8.2
  Dec 10, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 78-84 13%     3 - 5 +16.0 +7.9 +8.7
  Dec 22, 2011 61   Xavier W 68-58 59%     4 - 5 +17.7 +5.3 +13.2
  Dec 23, 2011 140   Auburn W 64-43 77%     5 - 5 +23.2 -0.8 +25.1
  Dec 25, 2011 21   Kansas St. L 60-77 39%     5 - 6 -4.1 -0.3 -5.1
  Jan 02, 2012 241   @ UC Irvine W 74-60 85%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +12.8 +1.7 +11.1
  Jan 05, 2012 172   Cal Poly W 55-50 89%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +1.3 -7.7 +10.2
  Jan 07, 2012 305   @ Cal St. Northridge W 81-68 93%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +6.7 -1.2 +7.2
  Jan 12, 2012 322   UC Davis W 86-58 98%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +12.3 +12.7 +2.1
  Jan 14, 2012 271   Pacific W 76-66 96%     10 - 6 5 - 0 +0.3 -0.5 +1.1
  Jan 19, 2012 172   @ Cal Poly W 78-69 75%     11 - 6 6 - 0 +12.1 +14.7 -1.6
  Jan 21, 2012 110   @ UC Santa Barbara W 71-48 59%     12 - 6 7 - 0 +30.5 +14.5 +20.8
  Jan 26, 2012 268   @ UC Riverside W 77-70 OT 88%     13 - 6 8 - 0 +4.2 -0.7 +4.1
  Jan 28, 2012 163   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-61 88%     14 - 6 9 - 0 +11.0 -5.6 +16.1
  Feb 04, 2012 305   Cal St. Northridge W 75-67 97%     15 - 6 10 - 0 -5.1 -7.2 +2.0
  Feb 09, 2012 271   @ Pacific W 74-66 88%     16 - 6 11 - 0 +5.1 +3.3 +2.2
  Feb 11, 2012 322   @ UC Davis W 89-69 95%     17 - 6 12 - 0 +11.1 +12.6 -1.3
  Feb 18, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 79-81 33%     17 - 7 +12.6 +5.6 +7.0
  Feb 22, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara W 70-58 81%     18 - 7 13 - 0 +12.7 -6.6 +19.0
  Feb 25, 2012 268   UC Riverside W 64-40 95%     19 - 7 14 - 0 +14.4 -11.4 +24.6
  Feb 29, 2012 241   UC Irvine W 77-50 94%     20 - 7 15 - 0 +19.0 +0.6 +18.2
  Mar 03, 2012 163   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 74-77 72%     20 - 8 15 - 1 +0.8 -3.7 +4.5
  Mar 08, 2012 322   UC Davis W 80-46 97%     21 - 8 +21.7 +8.0 +16.7
  Mar 09, 2012 241   UC Irvine W 68-57 91%     22 - 8 +6.4 +3.4 +4.5
  Mar 10, 2012 110   UC Santa Barbara W 77-64 71%     23 - 8 +17.1 +12.1 +6.4
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 10.5 27.4 47.6 12.7 0.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 10.5 27.4 47.6 12.7 0.0